The WN Fantasy Football Report: Semi-finals start em and sit em

Two more weeks of fantasy football are left. Hard to believe it is almost all said and done, huh?

If you have gotten this far you are either lucky, or a good jigsaw puzzler. The injury bug has been unreal, so there is no two ways around it. You either avoided the plague or you became a good repair man, plugging away a new player each week.

So, who’s left standing?

STARTS THAT MADE US LOOK SMART:

  • Ryan Fitzpatrick: 263 passing, 3 TDs, 23 yards rushing
  • Sammy Watkins: 5 for 81 and a touchdown
  • Lamar Miller: 89 rush, 2 TDs
  • David Johnson: 92 rushing, 5 receptions for 31 yards
  • Todd Gurley: 140 rushing, 2 TD, 1 reception for 7 yards
  • Tim Hightower: 85 rushing, 1 TD, 1 reception for 10 yards
  • Julius Thomas: 5 receptions for 54 yards and a TD
  • Chiefs defense:  1 INT, 5 sacks, 3 points allowed

STARTS THAT SHOULD HAVE SAT:

SITS THAT WERE WELL ADVISED:

SITS YOU SHOULD HAVE STARTED:

  • Eddie Lacy: 124 rushing, 1 TD, 1 reception for 24 yards
  • James Starks: 71 rushing, 4 receptions for 32 yards, 2 total TDs

DFS UPDATE: Not a bad week. Like our friend Stephen did the week prior, I made a DFS team of Wayniac Nation suggested starts. It was one of those where 100 enter and the top 25 slots double their money. Most of you know I am not a huge fan of DFS, but what kind of trusted advisor would I be if I didn’t put my money where my mouth was. The squad finished 19th overall, doubling my whopping $5 investment.

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Maybe you aren’t going to win millions with that lineup, but the point is, our starts can rack up some smaller contests.

WEEK 15 START EM AND SIT EM:

Dunton:

Start of the Week: It would be easy to say get QB Russell Wilson or QB Cam Newton in your lineup this weekend.  If you don’t have them, QB Alex Smith is an enticing start for me going against a Baltimore defense that is ranked 21st in the league and giving up 247 yards/game in the air.  

I like RB Lamar Miller going against the Chargers 27th ranked rushing defense. He is coming off two TDs and 89 yards on only 12 carries. The Dolphins kind of abandoned the run on Monday night or Lamar could have had 100 yards and the way he was running three TDS was not out of the question.  This week I expect at least 100 yards and a TD.

The Muscle Hamster (RB Doug Martin) is the second leading rusher in the NFL this year. That is maddening to many as he was not a 1st or 2nd round pick in many leagues based on his poor performance last year. The Rams are a tricky team, we think their defense is really good but numbers tell a different story. They are ranked 21st against the run. This is the Bucs last chance to try and save a playoff run and run they will if they can. If they get it going early Martin may see a ton of carries. Start him with caution but if you have him don’t be scared by the Rams defense.

Sits of the Week: WR Antonio Brown and the Steelers are facing the No. 1 pass defense in the league when the Broncos roll into town. The Steelers are fighting for a playoff spot but I think this week Brown is the one the Broncos focus on shutting down. 60 yards and a few receptions is a quiet day when you are looking for big time points in the playoffs.

TE Greg Olsen is a key component to the Panthers offense. Right now he is listed as probable but here is what I’m worried about. He steps out on the field runs a play or two and the knee is sore. You think the Panthers are going to let him continue? They are focusing on winning a super bowl and he is needed for that. Be cautious of Olsen this weekend.


Fee:

Starts of the Week:

WR Doug Baldwin: the guy is on fire.  Cleveland might get blown out here but Seattle doesn’t have to many RBs left.

WR Sammy Watkins: Taylor should be able to get the ball downfield in this one.

RB DeAngelo Williams: Pittsburgh may have to run the ball or dump it off with Denver’s secondary.

QB Blake Bortles: I think he gets back on track this week against ATL who is just awful on both sides of the ball.

RB David Johnson and WR Michael Floyd: I think Arizona exposes Philly’s D this week.

Sits of the Week:

WR Dez Bryant: The Cowboys aren’t the same without Romo and Dez looks like he doesn’t want to be out there.

WR Martavis Bryant: Antonio may get his but Denver can and should shut down the rest.

RB Buck Allen: The Chiefs run D is very good and Baltimore is going to struggle with it’s backup QB out there.

QB Marcus Mariota: The Pats D is quietly very good.


J.D.

Start of the Week:

RB Denard Robinson: He filled in very nicely for T.J. Yeldon last week and is looking like he’ll be the feature back if Yeldon is in fact out.  The Falcons look like a team that has quit and the Jags should be able to have their way on the ground this week.  

Sit of the Week: 

WR Dez Bryant: Dez’s season has been a nightmare without Romo and it’s not getting any better facing Darelle Revis this week.  You have better options on your bench, and on your waiver wire.


Saucy T:

Starts of the Week:

RB CJ Anderson: Last week the Broncos took the reigns off of Brock Osweiler, and he looked great for a half. Then the second half happened. A two to one pass to run ratio is NOT a recipe for the Broncos to win games, and even the thick-headed Gary Kubiak has to know this. I expect Denver to concentrate on establishing a balanced running game and CJ Anderson owners will enjoy the benefits. If you survived this far after drafting CJ early, feel confident in finally enjoying his talent this week.

RB Mike Tolbert: Last week I gave you Tim Hightower and this week I give you another injury fill in. Jonathan Stewart is out this week, and the Panthers will use more of a committee than the Saints did to replace Ingram. Tolbert is the guy who was already getting goal line work though, and in fantasy TDs are where value lies, so feel confident in starting the human bowling ball this week. 

RB Jeremy Hill: Another guy most fantasy owners consider a bust, but if you survived this far with him you can now enjoy. With Dalton out, expect the Bengals to lean on the run against a 49ers team that just allowed Isaiah Crowell to run all over them. Jeremy Hill should have similar success and help his owners get to a championship. 

Sits of the Week:

WR T.Y. Hilton: The Colts could be on their third starting QB this week, and that is Charlie Whitehurst. The Texans defense began to show signs of life the last few weeks, and Clowney has finally started to live up to his 1st overall pick status. Even if a hobbled Hasselbeck suits up, who knows how long he can take the pressure and punishment the Texans front will put on him. I wouldn’t trust any of the Colts offense not named Frank Gore with their QB situation right now.

TE Tyler Eifert: If you own Tyler Eifert, he’s probably a major reason your fantasy season is still alive. It will be hard to bench a guy that’s help you survive such a brutal fantasy season, but his value is in his touchdowns. Tyler Eifert leads the NFL with 12 TDs which is great, but they all came from Andy Dalton. AJ Mccarron is now starting for the Bengals, and while young QBs often rely on their TE, if the Bengals aren’t scoring as much, I just don’t trust Tyler Eifert. 


The Wayniac

Starts of the Week:

QB: He is always hot and cold, but you have to assume Matthew Stafford is geared up for his Monday Nighter against the Saints who have allowed the most points to fantasy QBs by a landslide this season with a 36:6 TD:INT ratio allowed.

RB: Both Lamar Miller and David Johnson proved to be reliable starts for Wayniac Nation this week and they have juicy matchups to continue the trend this week. Miller should own a Chargers defense giving up well over 20 points a game to opponents, while the Eagles (and any defense) has to be so worried about the Cards passing game that it will give Johnson big time opportunities.

WR: Golden Tate is one of my least favorite players in football. But when Megatron is banged up — which he is — Tate has proven to be a viable No. 1. The Lions are amid a lost season, there is no reason to over work Calvin Johnson. I know The Wifeyiac will love this because it was her cousin Derek’s darkhorse pick of the year, but Tyler Lockett is a nice play this week. I mean eventually someone will start paying attention to Baldwin, right?

TE: I think Julius Thomas is back in full form, which means when he has a good QB he is a touchdown machine. Look for him to get back in the end zone against a Falcons team that is lost.

Def: The Jets haven’t been that elite fantasy force that they have been in years past, but they have been good. Matt Cassel has not. This could be a game where a middling Jets defense looks like their old self. I can easily see 10-12 points from them. The Chiefs again are solid against a Ravens team that has been put together with band-aids.

Sits of the Week:

QB: This is the kind of game that he burns me on every year. You have to sit Eli Manning but the way that OBJ is playing, he probably makes a sick grab on an overthrown ball, and busts a broken coverage play for a 70-yard touchdown making Eli look credible. Still, I would start Alex Smith before Eli this week.

RB: I hate to say this because I may need to start him due to injuries, but Darren McFadden is a rough start this week. I hate to see it, because he has surprised everyone this week, but the Jets run defense is allowing the second least amount of points to RBs this season. The way the Cowboys inexplicably stopped feeding McFadden the ball when he had 111 yards rushing on only nine carries is worrisome as well.

WR: I think I need to stay with the Nation here and recommend Dez Bryant as a sit. He looks like he doesn’t care and Matt Cassel? This guy was a starting QB in the NFL and looks worse than every backup in the game. I don’t get how someone’s game falls off that quickly, but I bet Matt Ryan does.

TE: I am only putting this here because I vowed to do so. That being said, I think even Eric Ebron can find the end zone against the Saints. But this is the Final Four. You can’t take chances like that.

Def: Rams. Did you read what Dunton wrote? Everyone, every week keeps saying that they are scared to start such and such against the Rams, yet people keep scoring against them. I don’t think the Bucs have a lot of power to do incredible damage, but I don’t think the Rams are going to shut them down by any means.

Good luck! See ya in the championship game!

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